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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 21 Dec 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nacional Win

27%

AVS

3.74

29%

Draw

3.49

45%

Nacional

2.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

AVS xG

Total xG

2.18

1.27

Nacional xG

27%
29%
45%
AVSDrawNacional

3.74

27%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

2.24

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

28%

AVS

3.56

40%

Nacional

2.49

Win to Nil

8%

AVS

13.32

18%

Nacional

5.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 14.3 9.1 3.8 1.2 0.3
1 10.3 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 4.7 6.0 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.914
λ Away (xG) 1.270
Total xG 2.184
League avg home goals 1.360
League avg away goals 1.240
AVS attack strength 0.822
AVS defence strength 1.295
Nacional attack strength 0.790
Nacional defence strength 0.817
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48