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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Moreirense Win

28%

AVS

3.62

25%

Draw

3.98

47%

Moreirense

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

AVS xG

Total xG

2.93

1.69

Moreirense xG

28%
25%
47%
AVSDrawMoreirense

3.62

28%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

19%

AVS

5.40

29%

Moreirense

3.46

Win to Nil

5%

AVS

19.52

14%

Moreirense

7.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 9.0 7.6 4.3 1.8 0.6
1 6.6 11.2 9.4 5.3 2.2 0.8
2 4.1 7.0 5.9 3.3 1.4 0.5
3 1.7 2.9 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.242
λ Away (xG) 1.686
Total xG 2.928
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.278
AVS attack strength 0.865
AVS defence strength 1.329
Moreirense attack strength 0.993
Moreirense defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 49