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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AVS Win

38%

AVS

2.63

28%

Draw

3.59

34%

Guimaraes

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

AVS xG

Total xG

2.37

1.14

Guimaraes xG

38%
28%
34%
AVSDrawGuimaraes

2.63

38%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

32%

AVS

3.13

29%

Guimaraes

3.40

Win to Nil

12%

AVS

8.24

10%

Guimaraes

9.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.7 6.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 11.5 13.1 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.0 8.0 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.9 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.223
λ Away (xG) 1.142
Total xG 2.365
League avg home goals 1.531
League avg away goals 1.158
AVS attack strength 0.657
AVS defence strength 1.149
Guimaraes attack strength 0.858
Guimaraes defence strength 1.216
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62