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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Mon 27 Jan 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AVS Win

36%

AVS

2.79

29%

Draw

3.47

35%

GIL Vicente

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

AVS xG

Total xG

2.48

1.24

GIL Vicente xG

36%
29%
35%
AVSDrawGIL Vicente

2.79

36%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

29%

AVS

3.44

29%

GIL Vicente

3.47

Win to Nil

10%

AVS

9.61

10%

GIL Vicente

9.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.4 6.4 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.4 12.9 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.5 8.0 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.7 3.3 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.244
λ Away (xG) 1.236
Total xG 2.480
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.163
AVS attack strength 0.714
AVS defence strength 1.233
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.862
GIL Vicente defence strength 1.231
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 52