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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

15:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estrela Win

36%

AVS

2.78

24%

Draw

4.11

40%

Estrela

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

AVS xG

Total xG

2.98

1.53

Estrela xG

36%
24%
40%
AVSDrawEstrela

2.78

36%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

22%

AVS

4.64

23%

Estrela

4.26

Win to Nil

8%

AVS

12.92

9%

Estrela

10.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 7.8 6.0 3.0 1.2 0.4
1 7.3 11.3 8.6 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 5.3 8.2 6.3 3.2 1.2 0.4
3 2.6 3.9 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.449
λ Away (xG) 1.535
Total xG 2.984
League avg home goals 1.559
League avg away goals 1.201
AVS attack strength 0.747
AVS defence strength 1.271
Estrela attack strength 1.006
Estrela defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57