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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 28 Dec 2024

15:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AVS Win

42%

AVS

2.39

30%

Draw

3.33

28%

Estrela

3.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

AVS xG

Total xG

2.05

0.89

Estrela xG

42%
30%
28%
AVSDrawEstrela

2.39

42%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

3.55

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

41%

AVS

2.44

32%

Estrela

3.17

Win to Nil

17%

AVS

5.84

9%

Estrela

11.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 11.5 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.9 13.3 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.6 7.7 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.3 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.155
λ Away (xG) 0.892
Total xG 2.047
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.107
AVS attack strength 0.717
AVS defence strength 1.207
Estrela attack strength 0.668
Estrela defence strength 1.190
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 49