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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

20:15

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

31%

AVS

3.19

25%

Draw

4.01

44%

Estoril

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

AVS xG

Total xG

2.81

1.54

Estoril xG

31%
25%
44%
AVSDrawEstoril

3.19

31%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

21%

AVS

4.67

28%

Estoril

3.56

Win to Nil

7%

AVS

14.90

12%

Estoril

8.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 9.3 7.1 3.7 1.4 0.4
1 7.6 11.8 9.1 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.8 7.5 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.4
3 2.1 3.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.270
λ Away (xG) 1.542
Total xG 2.812
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.162
AVS attack strength 0.757
AVS defence strength 1.126
Estoril attack strength 1.178
Estoril defence strength 1.229
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 61