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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Casa Pia Win

35%

AVS

2.86

29%

Draw

3.49

36%

Casa Pia

2.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

AVS xG

Total xG

2.44

1.23

Casa Pia xG

35%
29%
36%
AVSDrawCasa Pia

2.86

35%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

2.75

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

29%

AVS

3.43

30%

Casa Pia

3.34

Win to Nil

10%

AVS

9.82

11%

Casa Pia

9.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 10.8 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 13.0 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.3 7.8 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 1.234
Total xG 2.439
League avg home goals 1.436
League avg away goals 1.147
AVS attack strength 0.858
AVS defence strength 1.140
Casa Pia attack strength 0.943
Casa Pia defence strength 0.979
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35