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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Casa Pia Win

28%

AVS

3.52

27%

Draw

3.66

44%

Casa Pia

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

AVS xG

Total xG

2.38

1.36

Casa Pia xG

28%
27%
44%
AVSDrawCasa Pia

3.52

28%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

26%

AVS

3.88

36%

Casa Pia

2.79

Win to Nil

7%

AVS

13.68

16%

Casa Pia

6.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 12.5 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.4
1 9.5 12.9 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.9 6.6 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.027
λ Away (xG) 1.356
Total xG 2.383
League avg home goals 1.268
League avg away goals 1.189
AVS attack strength 0.690
AVS defence strength 1.232
Casa Pia attack strength 0.926
Casa Pia defence strength 1.174
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 63