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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Benfica Win

19%

AVS

5.39

25%

Draw

3.98

56%

Benfica

1.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.7%

Away win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.79

AVS xG

Total xG

2.38

1.59

Benfica xG

19%
25%
56%
AVSDrawBenfica

5.39

19%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

1.77

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

20%

AVS

4.89

45%

Benfica

2.20

Win to Nil

4%

AVS

26.37

26%

Benfica

3.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 14.7 11.7 6.2 2.5 0.8
1 7.3 11.6 9.2 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 2.9 4.6 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.2
3 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.789
λ Away (xG) 1.587
Total xG 2.376
League avg home goals 1.310
League avg away goals 1.260
AVS attack strength 0.704
AVS defence strength 1.118
Benfica attack strength 1.126
Benfica defence strength 0.855
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 38