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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arouca Win

31%

AVS

3.23

26%

Draw

3.91

43%

Arouca

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

AVS xG

Total xG

2.96

1.62

Arouca xG

31%
26%
43%
AVSDrawArouca

3.23

31%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

2.30

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

20%

AVS

5.07

26%

Arouca

3.82

Win to Nil

6%

AVS

16.37

11%

Arouca

8.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 8.4 6.8 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 6.9 11.2 9.1 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 4.6 7.5 6.1 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.1 3.4 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.339
λ Away (xG) 1.623
Total xG 2.962
League avg home goals 1.347
League avg away goals 1.122
AVS attack strength 0.840
AVS defence strength 1.213
Arouca attack strength 1.192
Arouca defence strength 1.183
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 58