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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
55%
1.81
22%
4.51
23%
4.43
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
1 – 0
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.92
Arouca xG
Total xG
3.07
1.15
Tondela xG
AroucaDrawTondela
1.81
55%
Home win
4.51
22%
Draw
4.43
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.71
42%
BTTS No
2.40
Clean Sheet
32%
3.16
15%
6.81
Win to Nil
17%
5.72
3%
30.18
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 10.3 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.919
λ Away (xG)
1.151
Total xG
3.070
League avg home goals
1.447
League avg away goals
1.137
Arouca attack strength
1.103
Arouca defence strength
1.198
Tondela attack strength
0.845
Tondela defence strength
1.202
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 33