🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sporting CP Win
13%
7.48
18%
5.55
69%
1.46
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 2
10.6%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 2
9.7%
Away win
0 – 1
9.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.92
Arouca xG
Total xG
3.23
2.31
Sporting CP xG
AroucaDrawSporting CP
7.48
13%
Home win
5.55
18%
Draw
1.46
69%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
10%
10.08
40%
2.50
Win to Nil
1%
75.43
27%
3.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 8.2 | 4.7 | 2.2 |
| 1 | 3.6 | 8.4 | 9.7 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 2.0 |
| 2 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | – | – | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.917
λ Away (xG)
2.311
Total xG
3.228
League avg home goals
1.404
League avg away goals
1.288
Arouca attack strength
0.861
Arouca defence strength
1.289
Sporting CP attack strength
1.392
Sporting CP defence strength
0.758
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
52 / 52