🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
42%
2.41
32%
3.17
27%
3.72
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.3%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.3%
Draw
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.15
Arouca xG
Total xG
2.02
0.87
Rio Ave xG
AroucaDrawRio Ave
2.41
42%
Home win
3.17
32%
Draw
3.72
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.48
60%
BTTS No
1.68
Clean Sheet
42%
2.38
32%
3.16
Win to Nil
17%
5.73
8%
11.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.3 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.3 | 13.3 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.151
λ Away (xG)
0.868
Total xG
2.019
League avg home goals
1.399
League avg away goals
1.182
Arouca attack strength
0.773
Arouca defence strength
0.924
Rio Ave attack strength
0.795
Rio Ave defence strength
1.064
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
54 / 54