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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
38%
2.66
33%
3.04
29%
3.39
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.7%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
15.6%
Draw
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.01
Arouca xG
Total xG
1.86
0.85
Farense xG
AroucaDrawFarense
2.66
38%
Home win
3.04
33%
Draw
3.39
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
55%
Over 1.5
1.82
45%
Under 1.5
2.22
29%
Over 2.5
3.45
71%
Under 2.5
1.41
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.71
63%
BTTS No
1.58
Clean Sheet
43%
2.35
37%
2.73
Win to Nil
16%
6.24
11%
9.28
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.6 | 13.3 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.7 | 13.4 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 6.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.006
λ Away (xG)
0.854
Total xG
1.860
League avg home goals
1.348
League avg away goals
1.161
Arouca attack strength
0.790
Arouca defence strength
0.953
Farense attack strength
0.772
Farense defence strength
0.945
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 56