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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
58%
1.73
21%
4.72
21%
4.76
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.7%
Draw
2 – 0
8.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.04
Arouca xG
Total xG
3.19
1.15
Estrela xG
AroucaDrawEstrela
1.73
58%
Home win
4.72
21%
Draw
4.76
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.68
41%
BTTS No
2.47
Clean Sheet
32%
3.16
13%
7.68
Win to Nil
18%
5.47
3%
36.55
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 9.7 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.038
λ Away (xG)
1.152
Total xG
3.190
League avg home goals
1.487
League avg away goals
1.149
Arouca attack strength
1.143
Arouca defence strength
1.229
Estrela attack strength
0.816
Estrela defence strength
1.199
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 63