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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
36%
2.76
33%
3.05
31%
3.23
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
16.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
15.7%
Home win
0 – 1
14.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.95
Arouca xG
Total xG
1.80
0.85
Estrela xG
AroucaDrawEstrela
2.76
36%
Home win
3.05
33%
Draw
3.23
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
54%
Over 1.5
1.85
46%
Under 1.5
2.17
27%
Over 2.5
3.70
73%
Under 2.5
1.37
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.84
65%
BTTS No
1.54
Clean Sheet
43%
2.35
39%
2.58
Win to Nil
15%
6.48
12%
8.34
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.5 | 14.1 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.7 | 13.4 | 5.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.949
λ Away (xG)
0.853
Total xG
1.802
League avg home goals
1.254
League avg away goals
1.203
Arouca attack strength
0.821
Arouca defence strength
1.064
Estrela attack strength
0.667
Estrela defence strength
0.921
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 63