🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
41%
2.45
23%
4.42
37%
2.74
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.6%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
1 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.75
Arouca xG
Total xG
3.41
1.65
Estoril xG
AroucaDrawEstoril
2.45
41%
Home win
4.42
23%
Draw
2.74
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
44%
Over 3.5
2.27
56%
Under 3.5
1.79
26%
Over 4.5
3.85
74%
Under 4.5
1.35
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
67%
BTTS Yes
1.50
33%
BTTS No
3.01
Clean Sheet
19%
5.21
17%
5.78
Win to Nil
8%
12.76
6%
15.80
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 9.6 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 8.4 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.754
λ Away (xG)
1.651
Total xG
3.405
League avg home goals
1.525
League avg away goals
1.162
Arouca attack strength
1.047
Arouca defence strength
1.198
Estoril attack strength
1.186
Estoril defence strength
1.099
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
61 / 61