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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

33%

Arouca

3.04

24%

Draw

4.11

43%

Estoril

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Arouca xG

Total xG

2.95

1.59

Estoril xG

33%
24%
43%
AroucaDrawEstoril

3.04

33%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

20%

Arouca

4.89

26%

Estoril

3.92

Win to Nil

7%

Arouca

14.86

11%

Estoril

9.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 8.3 6.6 3.5 1.4 0.4
1 7.1 11.3 9.0 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 7.7 6.1 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.2 3.5 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.366
λ Away (xG) 1.588
Total xG 2.954
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.112
Arouca attack strength 0.802
Arouca defence strength 1.125
Estoril attack strength 1.269
Estoril defence strength 1.279
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59