Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Boavista Win

34%

Arouca

2.96

31%

Draw

3.20

35%

Boavista

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Arouca xG

Total xG

1.96

0.99

Boavista xG

34%
31%
35%
AroucaDrawBoavista

2.96

34%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

37%

Arouca

2.70

38%

Boavista

2.64

Win to Nil

12%

Arouca

8.00

13%

Boavista

7.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 14.0 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.6 13.5 6.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 6.6 6.6 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.1 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.969
λ Away (xG) 0.993
Total xG 1.962
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.217
Arouca attack strength 0.738
Arouca defence strength 0.918
Boavista attack strength 0.889
Boavista defence strength 1.015
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67