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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
50%
2.02
25%
3.94
25%
4.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.7%
Home win
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.56
Arouca xG
Total xG
2.58
1.03
AVS xG
AroucaDrawAVS
2.02
50%
Home win
3.94
25%
Draw
4.00
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
48%
Over 2.5
2.08
52%
Under 2.5
1.92
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.97
49%
BTTS No
2.03
Clean Sheet
36%
2.80
21%
4.74
Win to Nil
18%
5.64
5%
18.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 7.8 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 12.1 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 9.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.557
λ Away (xG)
1.028
Total xG
2.585
League avg home goals
1.334
League avg away goals
1.237
Arouca attack strength
0.976
Arouca defence strength
0.947
AVS attack strength
0.878
AVS defence strength
1.196
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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