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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Alverca Win
22%
4.51
25%
4.06
53%
1.88
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.7%
Away win
1 – 2
9.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.05
Arouca xG
Total xG
2.79
1.75
Alverca xG
AroucaDrawAlverca
4.51
22%
Home win
4.06
25%
Draw
1.88
53%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
17%
5.73
35%
2.85
Win to Nil
4%
25.84
19%
5.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1 | 10.7 | 9.3 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 11.2 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.047
λ Away (xG)
1.745
Total xG
2.792
League avg home goals
1.344
League avg away goals
1.298
Arouca attack strength
0.764
Arouca defence strength
1.399
Alverca attack strength
0.961
Alverca defence strength
1.020
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
47 / 13