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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

FC Alverca Sports Complex

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Braga Win

28%

Alverca

3.52

27%

Draw

3.65

44%

SC Braga

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Alverca xG

Total xG

2.38

1.36

SC Braga xG

28%
27%
44%
AlvercaDrawSC Braga

3.52

28%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

26%

Alverca

3.88

36%

SC Braga

2.80

Win to Nil

7%

Alverca

13.67

16%

SC Braga

6.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 12.5 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.4
1 9.5 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.9 6.6 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.7 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.029
λ Away (xG) 1.356
Total xG 2.385
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.159
Alverca attack strength 0.858
Alverca defence strength 1.150
SC Braga attack strength 1.017
SC Braga defence strength 0.881
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 35