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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 8 Nov 2025

15:30

Venue

FC Alverca Sports Complex

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rio Ave Win

21%

Alverca

4.70

26%

Draw

3.89

53%

Rio Ave

1.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Alverca xG

Total xG

2.81

1.76

Rio Ave xG

21%
26%
53%
AlvercaDrawRio Ave

4.70

21%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

1.88

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

17%

Alverca

5.82

35%

Rio Ave

2.84

Win to Nil

4%

Alverca

27.39

19%

Rio Ave

5.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 10.6 9.4 5.5 2.4 0.9
1 6.3 11.1 9.8 5.8 2.5 0.9
2 3.3 5.8 5.1 3.0 1.3 0.5
3 1.1 2.0 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.045
λ Away (xG) 1.762
Total xG 2.807
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.332
Alverca attack strength 0.756
Alverca defence strength 1.292
Rio Ave attack strength 1.024
Rio Ave defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 44