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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Nacional Win
22%
4.55
29%
3.43
49%
2.05
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
11.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.81
Alverca xG
Total xG
2.17
1.35
Nacional xG
AlvercaDrawNacional
4.55
22%
Home win
3.43
29%
Draw
2.05
49%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.39
58%
BTTS No
1.72
Clean Sheet
26%
3.87
44%
2.26
Win to Nil
6%
17.59
22%
4.62
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.4 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.3 | 12.6 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.815
λ Away (xG)
1.353
Total xG
2.168
League avg home goals
1.317
League avg away goals
1.340
Alverca attack strength
0.782
Alverca defence strength
1.199
Nacional attack strength
0.842
Nacional defence strength
0.791
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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