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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Guimaraes Win
26%
3.89
29%
3.44
45%
2.21
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.0%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
10.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.93
Alverca xG
Total xG
2.25
1.32
Guimaraes xG
AlvercaDrawGuimaraes
3.89
26%
Home win
3.44
29%
Draw
2.21
45%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
27%
3.74
40%
2.53
Win to Nil
7%
14.53
18%
5.59
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.6 | 14.0 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 12.9 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.927
λ Away (xG)
1.319
Total xG
2.246
League avg home goals
1.294
League avg away goals
1.206
Alverca attack strength
0.739
Alverca defence strength
1.185
Guimaraes attack strength
0.923
Guimaraes defence strength
0.969
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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