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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 24 Oct 2025

20:15

Venue

FC Alverca Sports Complex

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

25%

Alverca

4.04

33%

Draw

3.00

42%

GIL Vicente

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Alverca xG

Total xG

2.10

1.22

GIL Vicente xG

25%
33%
42%
AlvercaDrawGIL Vicente

4.04

25%

Home win

3.00

33%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

30%

Alverca

3.38

41%

GIL Vicente

2.42

Win to Nil

7%

Alverca

13.66

17%

GIL Vicente

5.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 14.9 9.1 3.7 1.1 0.3
1 10.8 13.2 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 4.8 5.8 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.882
λ Away (xG) 1.218
Total xG 2.100
League avg home goals 1.297
League avg away goals 1.193
Alverca attack strength 0.851
Alverca defence strength 1.088
GIL Vicente attack strength 0.939
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.799
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 42