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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arouca Win
36%
2.75
27%
3.75
37%
2.70
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.0%
Away win
1 – 0
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.27
Alverca xG
Total xG
2.55
1.28
Arouca xG
AlvercaDrawArouca
2.75
36%
Home win
3.75
27%
Draw
2.70
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.92
48%
BTTS No
2.08
Clean Sheet
28%
3.61
28%
3.56
Win to Nil
10%
9.92
10%
9.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 10.0 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.9 | 12.7 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 8.1 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.270
λ Away (xG)
1.283
Total xG
2.553
League avg home goals
1.455
League avg away goals
1.132
Alverca attack strength
0.822
Alverca defence strength
1.223
Arouca attack strength
0.927
Arouca defence strength
1.061
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
30 / 64