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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 15 May 2027

17:00

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

40%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.50

32%

Draw

3.10

28%

Widzew Łódź

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.05

0.91

Widzew Łódź xG

40%
32%
28%
Zaglebie LubinDrawWidzew Łódź

2.50

40%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

40%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.48

32%

Widzew Łódź

3.15

Win to Nil

16%

Zaglebie Lubin

6.19

9%

Widzew Łódź

11.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8 11.6 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.7 13.3 6.1 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.4 7.6 3.5 1.1 0.2
3 3.2 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.146
λ Away (xG) 0.908
Total xG 2.054
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.824
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.898
Widzew Łódź attack strength 0.871
Widzew Łódź defence strength 0.911
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34