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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

16:30

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

57%

Zaglebie Lubin

1.77

25%

Draw

4.08

19%

Widzew Łódź

5.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

3.15

1.12

Widzew Łódź xG

57%
25%
19%
Zaglebie LubinDrawWidzew Łódź

1.77

57%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

5.29

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

32%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.08

13%

Widzew Łódź

7.59

Win to Nil

18%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.45

2%

Widzew Łódź

40.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 4.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.7 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.9 6.7 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.027
λ Away (xG) 1.125
Total xG 3.152
League avg home goals 1.633
League avg away goals 1.219
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 1.165
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.868
Widzew Łódź attack strength 1.064
Widzew Łódź defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 51