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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 6 Feb 2027

17:00

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

36%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.77

30%

Draw

3.37

34%

Raków Częstochowa

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.42

1.19

Raków Częstochowa xG

36%
30%
34%
Zaglebie LubinDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.77

36%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

30%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.28

29%

Raków Częstochowa

3.41

Win to Nil

11%

Zaglebie Lubin

9.09

10%

Raków Częstochowa

9.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 10.6 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.0 13.0 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.7 8.0 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.7 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.227
λ Away (xG) 1.189
Total xG 2.416
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.160
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.818
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.895
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.146
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 0.983
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34