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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

16:30

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

52%

Zaglebie Lubin

1.92

24%

Draw

4.08

24%

Piast Gliwice

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.74

1.05

Piast Gliwice xG

52%
24%
24%
Zaglebie LubinDrawPiast Gliwice

1.92

52%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

35%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.87

18%

Piast Gliwice

5.41

Win to Nil

18%

Zaglebie Lubin

5.52

4%

Piast Gliwice

23.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 6.8 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 11.5 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.4 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.688
λ Away (xG) 1.055
Total xG 2.743
League avg home goals 1.612
League avg away goals 1.240
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 1.250
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.081
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.787
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.838
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 38