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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

19:15

Venue

Stadion Zagłębia Lubin

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

24%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.09

27%

Draw

3.67

48%

Piast Gliwice

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.30

1.40

Piast Gliwice xG

24%
27%
48%
Zaglebie LubinDrawPiast Gliwice

4.09

24%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

25%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.03

40%

Piast Gliwice

2.48

Win to Nil

6%

Zaglebie Lubin

16.51

19%

Piast Gliwice

5.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 14.0 9.7 4.5 1.6 0.4
1 9.1 12.7 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.1 5.7 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.907
λ Away (xG) 1.395
Total xG 2.302
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.170
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.842
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.263
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.943
Piast Gliwice defence strength 0.775
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56