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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

17:00

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

59%

Zaglebie Lubin

1.70

26%

Draw

3.78

15%

Nieciecza

6.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.25

0.66

Nieciecza xG

59%
26%
15%
Zaglebie LubinDrawNieciecza

1.70

59%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

6.85

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

52%

Zaglebie Lubin

1.94

20%

Nieciecza

4.90

Win to Nil

30%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.29

3%

Nieciecza

33.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 7.0 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 16.7 11.1 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 13.3 8.8 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 7.0 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.589
λ Away (xG) 0.663
Total xG 2.252
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.129
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.885
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.777
Nieciecza attack strength 0.757
Nieciecza defence strength 1.256
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 29