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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

11:15

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

56%

Zaglebie Lubin

1.77

20%

Draw

5.08

24%

Motor Lublin

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.8%

Draw

3 – 1

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

3.78

1.47

Motor Lublin xG

56%
20%
24%
Zaglebie LubinDrawMotor Lublin

1.77

56%

Home win

5.08

20%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.44

31%

BTTS No

3.25

Clean Sheet

23%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.33

10%

Motor Lublin

10.06

Win to Nil

13%

Zaglebie Lubin

7.67

2%

Motor Lublin

42.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 5.3 7.8 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.3
2 6.1 9.0 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.7 6.9 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
4 2.7 4.0 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.309
λ Away (xG) 1.466
Total xG 3.775
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.151
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 1.311
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.216
Motor Lublin attack strength 1.047
Motor Lublin defence strength 1.177
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41