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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

16:30

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

53%

Zaglebie Lubin

1.88

21%

Draw

4.67

25%

Legia Warszawa

3.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

2 – 2

6.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

3.59

1.44

Legia Warszawa xG

53%
21%
25%
Zaglebie LubinDrawLegia Warszawa

1.88

53%

Home win

4.67

21%

Draw

3.95

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.11

Clean Sheet

24%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.24

12%

Legia Warszawa

8.56

Win to Nil

13%

Zaglebie Lubin

7.95

3%

Legia Warszawa

33.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.0 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 5.9 8.5 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 9.2 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.5 6.6 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 3.5 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.147
λ Away (xG) 1.444
Total xG 3.591
League avg home goals 1.629
League avg away goals 1.244
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 1.302
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.138
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.020
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44