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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 17 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadion Zagłębia Lubin

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

46%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.17

27%

Draw

3.75

27%

Lechia Gdansk

3.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.65

1.12

Lechia Gdansk xG

46%
27%
27%
Zaglebie LubinDrawLechia Gdansk

2.17

46%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.66

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

33%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.07

22%

Lechia Gdansk

4.61

Win to Nil

15%

Zaglebie Lubin

6.68

6%

Lechia Gdansk

16.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 7.9 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.8 12.1 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.3 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.7 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.529
λ Away (xG) 1.123
Total xG 2.652
League avg home goals 1.418
League avg away goals 1.077
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.878
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.133
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 0.920
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.228
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 20