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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Zagłębia Lubin

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

26%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.78

29%

Draw

3.48

45%

Korona Kielce

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.17

1.26

Korona Kielce xG

26%
29%
45%
Zaglebie LubinDrawKorona Kielce

3.78

26%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

28%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.54

41%

Korona Kielce

2.46

Win to Nil

7%

Zaglebie Lubin

13.38

18%

Korona Kielce

5.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 14.5 9.2 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 10.3 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 4.7 5.9 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.902
λ Away (xG) 1.265
Total xG 2.167
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.197
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.756
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.202
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.879
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58