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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 7 Nov 2025

19:30

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

40%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.48

28%

Draw

3.58

32%

Gornik Zabrze

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.89

1.35

Gornik Zabrze xG

40%
28%
32%
Zaglebie LubinDrawGornik Zabrze

2.48

40%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

26%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.86

21%

Gornik Zabrze

4.67

Win to Nil

10%

Zaglebie Lubin

9.59

7%

Gornik Zabrze

14.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.5 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.5 11.5 7.8 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 8.9 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.4 4.6 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.541
λ Away (xG) 1.351
Total xG 2.892
League avg home goals 1.615
League avg away goals 1.166
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 1.323
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.113
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.041
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.721
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 48