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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Zagłębia Lubin

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

29%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.42

26%

Draw

3.80

44%

Gornik Zabrze

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.55

1.44

Gornik Zabrze xG

29%
26%
44%
Zaglebie LubinDrawGornik Zabrze

3.42

29%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.25

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

24%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.20

33%

Gornik Zabrze

3.04

Win to Nil

7%

Zaglebie Lubin

14.35

15%

Gornik Zabrze

6.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 11.2 8.1 3.9 1.4 0.4
1 8.7 12.5 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.8 6.9 5.0 2.4 0.9 0.2
3 1.8 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.112
λ Away (xG) 1.435
Total xG 2.547
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.162
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.727
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.221
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 1.011
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 1.050
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61