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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Mon 29 Sep 2025

17:00

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

69%

Zaglebie Lubin

1.45

19%

Draw

5.31

12%

Arka Gdynia

8.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.21

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

3.02

0.81

Arka Gdynia xG

69%
19%
12%
Zaglebie LubinDrawArka Gdynia

1.45

69%

Home win

5.31

19%

Draw

8.26

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

45%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.25

11%

Arka Gdynia

9.11

Win to Nil

31%

Zaglebie Lubin

3.25

1%

Arka Gdynia

75.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.8 8.7 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.9 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 8.8 7.1 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 4.9 3.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
5 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.209
λ Away (xG) 0.809
Total xG 3.018
League avg home goals 1.539
League avg away goals 1.196
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 1.255
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 1.227
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.551
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.144
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 9