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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

19:15

Venue

Orlen Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wisla Plock Win

40%

Wisla Plock

2.51

26%

Draw

3.78

34%

Legia Warszawa

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Wisla Plock xG

Total xG

2.82

1.34

Legia Warszawa xG

40%
26%
34%
Wisla PlockDrawLegia Warszawa

2.51

40%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

26%

Wisla Plock

3.83

23%

Legia Warszawa

4.37

Win to Nil

10%

Wisla Plock

9.62

8%

Legia Warszawa

12.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.0 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.8 11.8 7.9 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.7 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.2 4.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.474
λ Away (xG) 1.342
Total xG 2.816
League avg home goals 1.636
League avg away goals 1.284
Wisla Plock attack strength 1.045
Wisla Plock defence strength 0.871
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.199
Legia Warszawa defence strength 0.863
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 37