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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Wisla Plock cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Korona Kielce.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Wisla Plock beat Korona Kielce 2-0 at Orlen Stadion, Regular Season - 1, in the Ekstraklasa. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Wisla Plock 1.25 xG and Korona Kielce 1.47 xG, a combined 2.72. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Korona Kielce landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Wisla Plock attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Korona Kielce attack 0.91 / defence 0.98, drawn from 0/34 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Wisla Plock 32% | Draw 26% | Korona Kielce 42%, with Korona Kielce to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual Wisla Plock win had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights