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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 19 Jul 2025

16:30

Venue

Orlen Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Korona Kielce Win

32%

Wisla Plock

3.11

26%

Draw

3.92

42%

Korona Kielce

2.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Wisla Plock xG

Total xG

2.72

1.47

Korona Kielce xG

32%
26%
42%
Wisla PlockDrawKorona Kielce

3.11

32%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

2.36

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

23%

Wisla Plock

4.36

29%

Korona Kielce

3.49

Win to Nil

7%

Wisla Plock

13.54

12%

Korona Kielce

8.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 9.7 7.1 3.5 1.3 0.4
1 8.2 12.1 8.9 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.1 7.6 5.6 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.1 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.251
λ Away (xG) 1.472
Total xG 2.723
League avg home goals 1.504
League avg away goals 1.400
Wisla Plock attack strength 0.850
Wisla Plock defence strength 1.150
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.914
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.979
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 34