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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

Orlen Stadion

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wisla Plock Win

45%

Wisla Plock

2.21

27%

Draw

3.70

28%

Jagiellonia

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Wisla Plock xG

Total xG

2.41

1.03

Jagiellonia xG

45%
27%
28%
Wisla PlockDrawJagiellonia

2.21

45%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

36%

Wisla Plock

2.79

25%

Jagiellonia

4.01

Win to Nil

16%

Wisla Plock

6.17

7%

Jagiellonia

14.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.4 12.7 6.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 8.8 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.388
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.414
League avg home goals 1.569
League avg away goals 1.187
Wisla Plock attack strength 1.010
Wisla Plock defence strength 0.802
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.078
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.876
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 40