Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 22 Aug 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Widzew Łódź Win

57%

Widzew Łódź

1.77

25%

Draw

4.08

19%

Pogon Szczecin

5.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.75

Widzew Łódź xG

Total xG

2.67

0.92

Pogon Szczecin xG

57%
25%
19%
Widzew ŁódźDrawPogon Szczecin

1.77

57%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

5.30

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

40%

Widzew Łódź

2.50

17%

Pogon Szczecin

5.78

Win to Nil

23%

Widzew Łódź

4.41

3%

Pogon Szczecin

30.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 6.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 12.2 11.1 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.7 9.8 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.2 5.7 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.7 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.754
λ Away (xG) 0.915
Total xG 2.669
League avg home goals 1.636
League avg away goals 1.285
Widzew Łódź attack strength 0.898
Widzew Łódź defence strength 0.772
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.922
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.194
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39