Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

16:30

Venue

Stadion Widzewa Lodz

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Widzew Łódź Win

40%

Widzew Łódź

2.47

35%

Draw

2.85

24%

Korona Kielce

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Widzew Łódź xG

Total xG

2.00

0.85

Korona Kielce xG

40%
35%
24%
Widzew ŁódźDrawKorona Kielce

2.47

40%

Home win

2.85

35%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.41

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

43%

Widzew Łódź

2.33

31%

Korona Kielce

3.18

Win to Nil

17%

Widzew Łódź

5.76

8%

Korona Kielce

13.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 11.4 4.8 1.4 0.3
1 15.6 13.2 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 9.0 7.6 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 3.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.156
λ Away (xG) 0.847
Total xG 2.003
League avg home goals 1.623
League avg away goals 1.233
Widzew Łódź attack strength 0.885
Widzew Łódź defence strength 0.934
Korona Kielce attack strength 0.736
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.805
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49