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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

13:45

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stal Mielec Win

51%

Stal Mielec

1.96

26%

Draw

3.88

23%

Slask Wroclaw

4.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Stal Mielec xG

Total xG

2.47

0.94

Slask Wroclaw xG

51%
26%
23%
Stal MielecDrawSlask Wroclaw

1.96

51%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

4.31

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

39%

Stal Mielec

2.56

22%

Slask Wroclaw

4.62

Win to Nil

20%

Stal Mielec

5.02

5%

Slask Wroclaw

19.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 7.9 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.9 12.2 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.3 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.1 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.531
λ Away (xG) 0.940
Total xG 2.471
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.193
Stal Mielec attack strength 0.938
Stal Mielec defence strength 1.006
Slask Wroclaw attack strength 0.784
Slask Wroclaw defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58