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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

11:15

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stal Mielec Win

49%

Stal Mielec

2.03

26%

Draw

3.90

25%

Pogon Szczecin

3.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Stal Mielec xG

Total xG

2.65

1.06

Pogon Szczecin xG

49%
26%
25%
Stal MielecDrawPogon Szczecin

2.03

49%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.99

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

35%

Stal Mielec

2.89

20%

Pogon Szczecin

4.89

Win to Nil

17%

Stal Mielec

5.85

5%

Pogon Szczecin

19.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 7.5 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.2 11.9 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.5 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 5.0 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.588
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.648
League avg home goals 1.436
League avg away goals 1.094
Stal Mielec attack strength 1.067
Stal Mielec defence strength 0.985
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.984
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.037
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54