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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Lato

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stal Mielec Win

37%

Stal Mielec

2.68

29%

Draw

3.48

34%

Jagiellonia

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Stal Mielec xG

Total xG

2.65

1.29

Jagiellonia xG

37%
29%
34%
Stal MielecDrawJagiellonia

2.68

37%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

28%

Stal Mielec

3.62

26%

Jagiellonia

3.90

Win to Nil

10%

Stal Mielec

9.70

9%

Jagiellonia

11.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 9.1 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.6 12.4 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.4 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.0 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.360
λ Away (xG) 1.287
Total xG 2.647
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 1.168
Stal Mielec attack strength 1.013
Stal Mielec defence strength 0.975
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.131
Jagiellonia defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53